Hossam Badrawi Official Website
Check more.. Diagnose earlier.. isolate better.. and save your economy Husam BadrawiWednesday 04-15-2020 00:11
My friend, Dr. Osama Hamdy, director of the Joslin Center for Diabetes Research at Harvard University, told me a very important sentence after he read my message about the importance of circulating the Corona test in Egypt to contain the disease. Better.. and save your economy…!!.
I told him: I have read what you wrote, and I would like you to inform me of what you have reached at Harvard.
He said: Finally, the developed world understood that the best way to confront the epidemic is the early and rapid examination of the largest number of potentially infected citizens, accurate identification of suspects and their immediate isolation, because it is impossible to discover a vaccine or medicine in the short coming period. This means that if you check more, the number of infected cases will certainly be much greater, but it will enable you to efficiently confine and eliminate the virus quickly. The sooner you are ready for it and soon after the onset of the disease, success is almost guaranteed without paralysis of the economy, as you mentioned in your previous article. Therefore, the examination rate in South Korea at the beginning of the epidemic was 5,200 examinations per million people, so it did not need to paralyze its economy with an absolute ban, as China did, and completely defeated the virus, and deaths in it decreased to 1.2% of infected cases. The Western world did not realize this until late, but it understood the lesson the hard way, quickly changed its plans, and frantically sought to increase examination with the implementation of the ban to limit the spread of the epidemic. Germany leads the scene, as it conducts about 15,000 tests per million people, followed by Australia 13,000, while most of the Western world has between 7-9 thousand tests per million people. The United States has conducted 2.6 million tests so far, at a rate of 7,200 tests per million people, and Canada 9,800, so it is no wonder the staggering number of cases diagnosed there in a short period of time.
I told him: All the statistics I have seen say that the rates in Egypt are within reasonable limits.. However, the reports of the Ministry of Health say that about 25,000 analyzes have been conducted in Egypt for the entire country, i.e. an average of 244 analyzes per million people only. It is a small number compared to other countries.
He replied, saying: The advice of experts around the world has become clear. Examine more and accurately identify the suspects and spread sound awareness about the seriousness of the epidemic. You will quickly reach safety, especially if our death rate is large, because the place in this percentage reflects the number of diagnosed examinees. If you examine And if you diagnosed 100 people, and your deaths were 8 people, your death rate is 8% much higher. If you examine and diagnose 200 people and your deaths remain 8 people, then your rate will be 4%.
So if we look at the United States, the death rate is 3.8%, and in Germany the most examined country is 2.3%. But many countries imagined a decrease in the number of cases then due to the lack of examination or inaccuracy in identifying the suspects, or they thought that they were safe and slept dreaming of the miracles of current and future medicines. Therefore, experts in crisis management quickly turned, after understanding, to take care of the number of examinees and the accuracy of their selection, which was not recommended by the World Health Organization, perhaps because it imagined that the poor countries of the world would not be able to keep up with the costs of mass examination. But the short-term vision leads to savings in the short term, but the cost is greater in the long run for the disease to continue to spread through infected and undiagnosed people. Therefore, it is not surprising that some developed countries have revolted against some of the organization’s advice.
I said: What about the electronic applications that make the public a party in assisting the state in identifying suspects?
He said, “Some countries are now distributing applications that help them identify suspects accurately, as Korea did at the beginning of the crisis.” And I was pleased 3 days ago that Egypt launched an application on the phone called “Health of Egypt” connected to the national number, not only for awareness, but for tracking cases, symptoms and assistance, which is an optimal use of digital technology, but the great expansion of the examination remains, and the cessation of expressions of praise for ourselves until we cross safely to safety.
I told him: Frankly, I see the state – on multiple levels – doing its duty, and we must understand that the culture of the people needs focused media and cultural impulses so that citizens are part of the solution and not the problem. I have contacted multiple parties that listen to suggestions and take initiatives to protect society from the virus and from the ignorance of some who spread indifference, or who would like to strike the state’s credibility in any way without patriotism or right. What we see as good must be supported and encouraged, and what we see as lacking, let us advise positively, take initiative and suggest.
Dr. Ahmed Al-Juyoushi, the former Deputy Minister of Education, entered into a discussion with me, saying: It seems that the Corona pandemic has not only invaded the world in health, but has expanded the scope of the invasion to include most aspects of human life with all its economic activities, and because the countries found themselves in the heart of the storm without introductions And because the dangerous virus was distinguished from other non-dignified Corona family by the severity of the spread of infection from human to human, there were no quick and effective solutions other than preventive measures represented in limiting the chances of people approaching each other, especially in activities characterized by human densities, especially schools. and universities, the decision unanimously agreed upon by most countries of the world was to suspend studies in schools and universities, until the crisis clears up.. These are temporary measures, of course, but because “education” is an integrated process that builds its educational goals one class after another, it was necessary for educational institutions to Appropriate decisions are taken to adapt to the decision to close schools, and at the same time organize the study process in one way or another for students while they are in their homes. Lim Electronic” for this purpose, given that it is a temporary period and will end after several weeks or several months at most, and it was
The main purpose of applying distance learning or e-learning mechanisms is to save what can be saved from the life of the school year that stopped suddenly under the weight of the epidemic.
However, I would like to point out that the role of the “natural” school or university is primarily an educational role before it is an educational role, and the goals of the educational process itself in all stages revolve (and should center) on “building the human being” cognitively, skillfully, behaviorally, and ethically… The goals of the process are not limited to The educational system never merely refining “knowledge” through accessing its electronic resources that are provided by the international network (the Internet) for students while they are in their sleep!! And I think that this is what you advocate, Doctor, in all your articles, and you are known for your fondness for technology.
I told him: I agree with you, and I remind the reader that the fourth pillar of the vision of the future of education that I advocate and which I do not hope to repeat is building the integrated personality of the student and student in all its aspects to become a normal citizen, proud of himself, enlightened, creative, proud of his country and its history, passionate about building its future. Able to differ and amenable to pluralism.. Note that this cannot be achieved without culture, art, music and sports, and this can only be achieved through coexistence and practice within the framework of the educational institution through human communication that serves this purpose.
